New La Nina forming

[twawki]

The SOI (southern oscillation index) continues to rise - above 8 is typically la nina territory

SSTs (Sea surface temps) are continuing to warm at top end of Australia - another feature of La Nina

Scientists are saying we have had another climate shift - PDO has shifted to a cooling phase with predominant La Ninas - bringing colder, wetter weather. The last cold PDO was from the 1940s - 1970s which culminated in the Ice Age scare.

Solar scientists say the suns current quiet run will add a further cooling signature to the climate

If we get any significant volcanic explosions in the southern hemisphere expect even more cold!

The BOM (Bureau of Metoerology) have said today that La Nina forming

[twawki]

SOI data;

http://www.longpaddock.qld.gov.au/SeasonalClimateOutlook/SouthernOscillationIndex/30DaySOIValues/

ENSO
http://www.cdc.noaa.gov/people/klaus.wolter/MEI/

BOM
http://www.abc.net.au/news/stories/2008/10/20/2395929.htm

Cooling PDO
Likely 20-30 years long
http://wattsupwiththat.files.wordpress.com/2008/04/la-nina-and-pacific-decadal-oscillation-cool-the-pacific.pdf

http://icecap.us/

[twawki]

good article here on the cooling PDO and predominant La Ninas that come with it;

Pacific Decadal Oscillations Closely Tied to ENSO PDF Print E-mail

October 21, 2008
By Joseph D'Aleo, on Intellicast.com
The PDO continues to be strongly negative and the ENSO measures are trending back towards La Nina. Should that surprise us? No, because most La Ninas have a tendency to persist more than one year and the negative PDO states favors more and stronger and longer lasting La Ninas.

http://www.rightsidenews.com/200810212284/energy-and-environment/pacific-decadal-oscillations-closely-tied-to-enso.html

Another factor is cooling PDOs and La Ninas is more severe cyclone seasons

http://www.abc.net.au/news/stories/2008/10/20/2395929.htm

30 years of warming temps just disappear;

http://network.nationalpost.com/np/blogs/fullcomment/archive/2008/10/20/lorne-gunter-thirty-years-of-warmer-temperatures-go-poof.aspx

"For nearly 30 years, Professor Christy has been in charge of NASA's eight weather satellites that take more than 300,000 temperature readings daily around the globe. In a paper co-written with Dr. Douglass, he concludes that while manmade emissions may be having a slight impact, "variations in global temperatures since 1978 ... cannot be attributed to carbon dioxide."

Moreover, while the chart below was not produced by Douglass and Christy, it was produced using their data and it clearly shows that in the past four years -- the period corresponding to reduced solar activity -- all of the rise in global temperatures since 1979 has disappeared."

[twawki]

SOI continues to rise

http://www.longpaddock.qld.gov.au/SeasonalClimateOutlook/SouthernOscillationIndex/30DaySOIValues/

PDO shift
http://forums.accuweather.com/index.php?showtopic=7554

The Great Global Warming Swindle

http://au.youtube.com/watch?v=xzSzItt6h-s

Al Gore sued for fraud

http://au.youtube.com/watch?v=FfHW7KR33IQ&

2009 International Conference on Climate Change
GLOBAL WARMING CANCELLED

http://www.heartland.org/events/NewYork09/newyork09.html

The Green Religion/Cult

http://canadafreepress.com/index.php/article/5803

[twawki]

long paddock is forecasting wetter weather for QLD

http://www.longpaddock.qld.gov.au/SeasonalClimateOutlook/OutlookMessage/index.html

this is also the prediction of hayden walker

http://www.thedaily.com.au/news/2008/nov/02/here-comes-rain/

predict weather is much of the same - rain;

https://www.predictweather.co.nz/assets/articles/article_home.php?id=63

SOI conditions still strongly positive favoring la nina

discussion on la nina

http://solarcycle24com.proboards106.com/index.cgi?board=globalwarming

[twawki]

great discussion here on how all the signs of la nina are falling into place;

http://www.cdc.noaa.gov/people/klaus.wolter/MEI/mei.html#discussion

"There are several other ENSO indices that are kept up-to-date on the web. Several of these are tracked at the NCEP website that is usually updated around the same time as the MEI, but not in time for this go-around. Niņo regions 3 and 3.4 showed persistent temperature anomalies of -1.3C or lower from September (region 3) and October 2007 (region 3.4) through February 2008, but have warmed up considerably since then. Weekly SST data shows that the warming may have peaked in August, with an erratic cooling trend since then, leaving the Niņo 3.4 index below 0C since late August, while the Niņo 3 index dropped below 0C by the end of October. For extended Tahiti-Darwin SOI data back to 1876, and timely monthly updates, check the Australian Bureau of Meteorology website. This index caught on to the current La Niņa event last November, reaching +12 to +14 (1.4 sigma) in December, January and March, and higher yet (+21) in February. The average for February-March (+16.8) was ranked fourth highest for that season (since 1950, but this ranking is true for the full record as well). It then hovered near 0 from April through July, while the August SOI rebounded right up to +9, followed by +14 in September and +13 in October, almost one and a half standard deviations in La Niņa territory. The last time this index was this high at this time of year was in 1988, right in the middle of a strong La Niņa event. An ever longer Tahiti-Darwin SOI (back to 1866) is maintained at the Climate Research Unit of the University of East Anglia website, however with less frequent updates (currently more than one year behind). Extended SST-based ENSO data can be found at the University of Washington-JISAO website, currently updated through April 2007. "

[twawki]

La Nina building

http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/01/01/looking-more-like-la-nina-every-day/

New little ice age ahead instead of global warming;

http://bourabai.narod.ru/landscheidt/new-e.htm

Sun all quiet mode

Rudd condemns Australia on a lie

http://cecaust.com.au/main.asp?sub=releases&id=2008_12_16_Rudd%20_condemns_Australia.html